-The ‘Chai Wallah’
Vs the Aspiring Common Man (the Prince) Vs the ‘Muffler Wallah’-
Irrespective of the Congress
party not declaring Rahul Gandhi its prime-ministerial nominee and irrespective
of Rahul Gandhi saying again and again that ‘power is poison and he is not for the
post’, as he said again in his first formal interview to a TV channel, it is
going to be Narendra Modi Vs Rahul Gandhi in the upcoming Lok Sabha polls.
At the moment, the
balance is heavily tilted in favour of Narendra Modi after the assembly election
results of Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Delhi in December last
year when BJP registered a good (better than expected in some cases) performance
while Congress saw humiliation, to the extent of absolute rejection.
Before, that, though
Modi was still far ahead in different popularity surveys, the opinionating was
not so skewed and the Rahul Factor was being talked about seriously.
That has seen a
reasonable dent now.
But, still, the
Congress party has no other alternative than to project Rahul Gandhi,
officially or unofficially, hoping some political windfall in the last moments
that may help the Rahul Factor sail through the political storm of the Lok
Sabha polls 2014.
For Congress, still,
the First Family comes first, when it comes to the moments of crisis, as is the
case now, with a Congress led coalition government facing historically low
credibility crisis and sky-high anti-incumbency.
So, irrespective of
whether it is or it is not, it is going to be Rahul Gandhi Vs Narendra Modi.
And what about ‘Rahul
Gandhi Vs Narendra Modi Vs Arvind Kejriwal’ hypothesis for the prime-ministerial
chair of the country?
The option with ‘Vs
Kejriwal’ in picture is more for the analysts and pundits who are going to come
with their psephological, sociopolitical and sociological viewpoints before the
elections, factoring in the ‘Kejriwal Factor (or AAP Factor) after the stunning
success of the Aam Aadmi Party in the Delhi assembly elections.
So, even if a ‘Kejriwal
Factor’ is non-existent or is having absolutely low recall intensity beyond
Delhi-NCR and some urban pockets, it is going to be in news and discussions
until the Lok Sabha poll results come. Also, the growing base of controversies
against AAP, in just 30 days of it coming to power in Delhi, has corroded the national ambitions of
the new party in real terms. Now, they need to deliver Delhi first.
Therefore, for voters
spread across the villages, towns, cities and metro cities, it is mainly going
to be Narendra Modi Vs Rahul Gandhi.
For certain populations
spread across certain geographical localities, and for the discourse utility of
the Kejriwal Factor for political discussions on TV news channels and other
media vehicles, it is going to be Rahul Gandhi Vs Narendra Modi Vs Arvind
©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey - http://severallyalone.blogspot.com/