The best way to know the self is feeling oneself at the moments of reckoning. The feeling of being alone, just with your senses, may lead you to think more consciously. More and more of such moments may sensitize ‘you towards you’, towards others. We become regular with introspection and retrospection. We get ‘the’ gradual connect to the higher self we may name Spirituality or God or just a Humane Conscious. We tend to get a rhythm again in life. We need to learn the art of being lonely in crowd while being part of the crowd. A multitude of loneliness in mosaic of relations! One needs to feel it severally, with conscience, before making it a way of life. One needs to live several such lonely moments. One needs to live severallyalone.

Monday, 25 February 2013

WHY, MORE THAN ANY OTHER PARTY, THE CONGRESS PARTY WOULD GO FOR A 2013 LOK SABHA ELECTION?

To maximize the instant gains from the populist measures like the direct transfer of cash subsidy and food security bill and possibly, yet another installment of the farm debt waiver:

A shorter impact period of, say eight months (if the elections happen sometime in October-November 2013), would help maximize the effect on the impulsive behaviour of the target segment of the population, that the Congress party sees as its ‘saviour vote bank’.

Eight months would be enough to reach the intended voters with good numbers of cash and food-grains installments already stacked in the thoughts of dilapidated and poverty-ridden lives.

Eight months would be too less for the intended population to realize the shortcomings, narrowness and futility of such populist schemes. Also, the immediate needs would work to manipulate their thoughts effectively covering-up the pain of scams like MNREGA, PDS, farm debt waiver or NRHM.  

Eight months, therefore, would, the Indian National Congress, think are a good bet to work towards the maximum conversion rate from the intended population segment - conversion, from being voters to become the committed Congress party voters.

Eight months would not be enough for the opposition parties to make some definitive noise on MNREGA of farm debt waiver scams as the investigations or comprehensive CAG reports are still in primary stages.


To minimize the positive avenues for Narendra Modi: Okay the premises are clear. It is going to be Narendra Modi Vs Rahul Gandhi in the next general elections. 2013 is slated to see 10 assembly elections that include important state assemblies like Delhi, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Karnataka and Jammu & Kashmir.

Now, except Karnataka, the Congress party is not looking in the sailing seat to score comfortable victories. Even in Karnataka, its more of the Bhartiya Janta Party’s (BJP) doing. Also present in the state is the Janta Dal (Secular) (JD-S) factor.

Now that Narendra Modi is going to head the election cell of the BJP for the upcoming Lok Sabha election, if the BJP improves or retains its performance in these state assemblies, it will make Modi even more powerful, taking his cult following that is in Gujarat, significantly wider across the country. If that happens, Modi and BJP can easily and greatly outnumber the Congress party in the upcoming general elections.

To counter it, the Congress party would like to see if the major assembly elections can be clubbed with the Lok Sabha election. Terms of Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Delhi and Rajasthan assemblies are expiring in December and January 2013. If elections to these assemblies are clubbed with the general elections in the later half of 2013, it would certainly devoid Modi a chance to score better.   

To give Rahul Gandhi a best possible political coronation: Now nothing less than a prime-ministerial chair will serve the purpose of the Congress party’s present vice-president and party’s only hope, it is clear. Apart from a good initiation, Rahul’s political career nothing much to talk about. Instead, it has failures like Bihar and Uttar Pradesh and questions on Rahul’s reluctance to lead from the front.

Time, indeed, is running out for Rahul. To mop-up and to map-up, he needs to overwrite and Modi’s gain is Rahul’s loss. So the grand old party of India would do all to minimize Modi’s gains by not giving him more time till the next general elections that may allow him to become politically stronger and hence more acceptable.

Modi’s political acceptability is bound to go up with time: Modi’s brilliant electoral victories in Gujarat have already made him a national leader and the tallest political figures in the BJP. His acceptability in other parties is bound to increase as he makes inroads in the mindset of the wider population segments of the country. And it has to happen. A negative aspect of Modi’s career, the Gujarat riots (and so his ability to polarize opinions and hence votes) is going to score positives in the imminent clash with the negative tool of the Congress party politics, the appeasement of minorities.

If Modi and the BJP perform better in the upcoming assembly elections, effectively handling the anti-incumbency, like it has happened in Gujarat, Modi is certainly going to have scaled-up greater acceptability in the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the BJP might win over new allies as well. After all, who would not like to go with the winning horse in a race? And the Congress party would not like give Modi this chance. And holding the next general elections in later half of this year might well be an effective solution for the Congress party.

Will that be so? Is it going to happen this way? Let’s see. 

©/IPR: Santosh Chaubey - http://severallyalone.blogspot.com/